YEARLY HIGH
0.2651 BTN
YEARLY LOW
0.2420 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2530 BTN

2018 HUF to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 15, valuing the pair at 0.2651. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.2420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0231 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2512 to the December average rate of 0.2491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2651 was up 5.14% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 265,119 BTN
2017 Average 237,716 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 241,969 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,149.23 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2626
0.2436
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2531, compared to 0.2530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2531
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0162 BTN (High: 0.2598 / Low: 0.2436). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 BTN (High: 0.2584 / Low: 0.2550).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0162
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0075 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0075

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.2610) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2468), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0142 (+5.75%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.2610
2017 Avg (October) 0.2468

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2554 0.2455 0.2512
February 0.2581 0.2523 0.2550
March 0.2584 0.2550 0.2568
April 0.2616 0.2554 0.2585
May 0.2554 0.2442 0.2518
June 0.2491 0.2420 0.2451
July 0.2504 0.2425 0.2475
August 0.2540 0.2427 0.2485
September 0.2639 0.2520 0.2585
October 0.2651 0.2568 0.2610
November 0.2598 0.2436 0.2535
December 0.2535 0.2447 0.2491