YEARLY HIGH
0.3740 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.3414 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3609 KES

2016 HUF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.3740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.3414.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0326 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3538 to the December average rate of 0.3451, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3740 was down 3.41% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3871, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 373,961 KES
2015 Average 351,707 KES
Yearly Trough Low 341,373 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,587.31 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3707
0.3428
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3624, compared to 0.3593 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0031 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3624
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3593

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0242 KES (High: 0.3695 / Low: 0.3452). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 KES (High: 0.3708 / Low: 0.3659).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0242
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0106 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.3619) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3511), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0108 (+3.06%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.3619
2015 Avg (May) 0.3511

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3585 0.3502 0.3538
February 0.3705 0.3579 0.3651
March 0.3691 0.3553 0.3632
April 0.3708 0.3659 0.3684
May 0.3740 0.3564 0.3619
June 0.3708 0.3513 0.3624
July 0.3634 0.3536 0.3567
August 0.3702 0.3616 0.3664
September 0.3717 0.3643 0.3678
October 0.3723 0.3573 0.3642
November 0.3695 0.3452 0.3557
December 0.3501 0.3414 0.3451