YEARLY HIGH
0.5823 LRD
YEARLY LOW
0.4843 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5317 LRD

2018 HUF to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 0.5823. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.4843.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0980 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5008 to the December average rate of 0.5557, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5823 was up 20.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4848, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 582,311 LRD
2017 Average 383,566 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 484,348 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97,962.92 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5654
0.4935
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5082, compared to 0.5552 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0469 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5082
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5552

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0505 LRD (High: 0.5823 / Low: 0.5318). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0113 LRD (High: 0.5619 / Low: 0.5505).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0505
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0167 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0167

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.5594) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3489), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2104 (+60.31%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.5594
2017 Avg (July) 0.3489

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5160 0.4843 0.5008
February 0.5125 0.4892 0.5001
March 0.5228 0.5101 0.5177
April 0.5243 0.5067 0.5162
May 0.5054 0.4914 0.4995
June 0.5319 0.5033 0.5151
July 0.5823 0.5318 0.5594
August 0.5568 0.5371 0.5484
September 0.5765 0.5454 0.5554
October 0.5647 0.5458 0.5555
November 0.5632 0.5492 0.5565
December 0.5619 0.5505 0.5557