YEARLY HIGH
0.0678 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.0580 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0623 MDL

2018 HUF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 0.0678. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 0.0580.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0098 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0669 to the December average rate of 0.0606, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0678 was down 3.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,756 MDL
2017 Average 67,277 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 58,003 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,752.48 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0676
0.0587
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0644, compared to 0.0602 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0644
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0602

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0029 MDL (High: 0.0678 / Low: 0.0648). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 MDL (High: 0.0662 / Low: 0.0648).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0029
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.0661) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0688), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0027 (-3.96%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.0661
2017 Avg (February) 0.0688

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0673 0.0660 0.0669
February 0.0678 0.0648 0.0661
March 0.0662 0.0648 0.0654
April 0.0655 0.0639 0.0648
May 0.0635 0.0609 0.0622
June 0.0622 0.0596 0.0610
July 0.0611 0.0594 0.0602
August 0.0605 0.0580 0.0594
September 0.0613 0.0589 0.0603
October 0.0613 0.0596 0.0603
November 0.0612 0.0594 0.0604
December 0.0614 0.0598 0.0606