YEARLY HIGH
2.3459 SOS
YEARLY LOW
2.0130 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1470 SOS

2018 HUF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 2.3459. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 2.0130.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3329 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2887 to the December average rate of 2.0449, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.3459 was up 1.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,345,944 SOS
2017 Average 2,116,757 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 2,013,002 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 332,941.53 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.3265
2.0179
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2328, compared to 2.0613 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1715 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2328
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0613

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1445 SOS (High: 2.2154 / Low: 2.0709). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0468 SOS (High: 2.0691 / Low: 2.0223).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1445
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0468

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1226 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 2.3008) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.9968), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3040 (+15.22%).

2018 Avg (February) 2.3008
2017 Avg (February) 1.9968

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.3417 2.2250 2.2887
February 2.3459 2.2576 2.3008
March 2.3168 2.2698 2.2943
April 2.3074 2.2182 2.2742
May 2.2154 2.0709 2.1517
June 2.1348 2.0372 2.0871
July 2.1140 2.0402 2.0837
August 2.1043 2.0218 2.0666
September 2.1063 2.0464 2.0744
October 2.0822 2.0204 2.0546
November 2.0681 2.0130 2.0436
December 2.0691 2.0223 2.0449