YEARLY HIGH
0.2783 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.2459 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2633 UGX

2018 IDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the IDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 0.2783. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 28, dropping to 0.2459.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0324 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2714 to the December average rate of 0.2558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2783 was up 0.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 10,000,000 IDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,782,881 UGX
2017 Average 2,703,005 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,458,634 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 324,247.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2770
0.2462
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

IDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2688, compared to 0.2578 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0110 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2688
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2578

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0164 UGX (High: 0.2745 / Low: 0.2580). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 UGX (High: 0.2685 / Low: 0.2666).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0164
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0151 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0151

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.2745) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2699), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0046 (+1.70%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.2745
2017 Avg (June) 0.2699

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2731 0.2679 0.2714
February 0.2706 0.2656 0.2680
March 0.2683 0.2646 0.2656
April 0.2685 0.2666 0.2678
May 0.2714 0.2624 0.2655
June 0.2783 0.2719 0.2745
July 0.2745 0.2580 0.2631
August 0.2627 0.2575 0.2602
September 0.2656 0.2612 0.2639
October 0.2623 0.2459 0.2488
November 0.2598 0.2472 0.2548
December 0.2617 0.2533 0.2558