YEARLY HIGH
0.4769 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.4431 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4610 BGN

2018 ILS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.4769. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.4431.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0338 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4687 to the December average rate of 0.4580, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4769 was down 5.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,385 BGN
2017 Average 2,410 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 2,216 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 168.91 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4705
0.4486
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4592, compared to 0.4629 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0037 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4592
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4629

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0201 BGN (High: 0.4710 / Low: 0.4508). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 BGN (High: 0.4682 / Low: 0.4629).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0201
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0159 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0159

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4687) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4822), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0135 (-2.80%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4687
2017 Avg (January) 0.4822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4769 0.4605 0.4687
February 0.4614 0.4431 0.4527
March 0.4613 0.4490 0.4576
April 0.4529 0.4472 0.4504
May 0.4710 0.4508 0.4610
June 0.4715 0.4580 0.4648
July 0.4623 0.4563 0.4593
August 0.4685 0.4563 0.4626
September 0.4716 0.4630 0.4673
October 0.4682 0.4629 0.4655
November 0.4717 0.4587 0.4646
December 0.4644 0.4530 0.4580