YEARLY HIGH
5.9173 ETB
YEARLY LOW
5.3389 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6899 ETB

2016 ILS to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ILS to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 5.9173. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 5.3389.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5783 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3817 to the December average rate of 5.8444, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.9173 was up 7.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5247, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,586 ETB
2015 Average 26,628 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 26,695 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,891.67 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.9212
5.3326
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5717, compared to 5.8082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2365 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5717
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.2556 ETB (High: 5.7144 / Low: 5.4589). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0804 ETB (High: 5.9100 / Low: 5.8295).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2556
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0804

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0576 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 5.8146) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.4251), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3894 (+7.18%).

2016 Avg (October) 5.8146
2015 Avg (October) 5.4251

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4555 5.3389 5.3817
February 5.5018 5.3790 5.4594
March 5.7144 5.4589 5.5348
April 5.7818 5.6479 5.7153
May 5.7679 5.6049 5.6876
June 5.7037 5.5854 5.6511
July 5.7905 5.6426 5.6950
August 5.8780 5.7388 5.8127
September 5.9100 5.8295 5.8722
October 5.9173 5.7488 5.8146
November 5.8831 5.7498 5.8104
December 5.9060 5.7801 5.8444