YEARLY HIGH
19.6802 RUB
YEARLY LOW
15.9186 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.4541 RUB

2018 ILS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 19.6802. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 17, dropping to 15.9186.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7616 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.5631 to the December average rate of 18.0096, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 19.6802 was up 14.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.1497, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 98,401 RUB
2017 Average 81,105 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 79,593 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,808.25 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

19.0766
16.0007
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.8778, compared to 18.0304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1525 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.8778
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.0304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.7527 RUB (High: 18.9025 / Low: 17.1498). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2508 RUB (High: 16.6888 / Low: 16.4380).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.7527
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2508

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.8106 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 18.8203) against the same month in 2017 (average: 16.3260), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4943 (+15.28%).

2018 Avg (September) 18.8203
2017 Avg (September) 16.3260

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.6888 16.4380 16.5631
February 16.5886 15.9186 16.2570
March 16.6374 16.2857 16.4834
April 17.9699 16.2837 17.1749
May 17.5879 17.1530 17.3726
June 17.5819 17.1783 17.4162
July 17.4932 16.9722 17.2535
August 18.9025 17.1498 18.1287
September 19.6802 18.0252 18.8203
October 18.4397 17.6426 18.0097
November 18.4925 17.5557 17.9605
December 18.5094 17.6098 18.0096