YEARLY HIGH
1.5633 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.3750 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4663 RSD

2018 INR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the INR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.5633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 1.3750.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1883 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5277 to the December average rate of 1.4697, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5633 was down 14.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.8206, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 390,837 RSD
2017 Average 413,210 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 343,751 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,086.18 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5404
1.3873
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4878, compared to 1.4447 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0432 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4447

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0835 RSD (High: 1.4974 / Low: 1.4139). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 RSD (High: 1.4824 / Low: 1.4645).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0835
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0639 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0639

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.5277) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7100), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1823 (-10.66%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.5277
2017 Avg (January) 1.7100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5633 1.5007 1.5277
February 1.5089 1.4739 1.4869
March 1.4824 1.4645 1.4738
April 1.4865 1.4471 1.4664
May 1.5089 1.4591 1.4803
June 1.5139 1.4754 1.4920
July 1.4806 1.4591 1.4699
August 1.4967 1.4259 1.4718
September 1.4354 1.3837 1.4078
October 1.4228 1.3750 1.4001
November 1.4974 1.4139 1.4488
December 1.4991 1.4370 1.4697