YEARLY HIGH
1.7458 BGN
YEARLY LOW
1.5864 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6540 BGN

2021 JEP to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the JEP to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 24, valuing the pair at 1.7458. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 1.5864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1594 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6070 to the December average rate of 1.7309, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.71% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.7458 was down 4.75% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.8328, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 JEP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,729 BGN
2020 Average 8,579 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 7,932 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 797.05 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.7433
1.5946
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

JEP to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6233, compared to 1.6847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0614 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6233
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0600 BGN (High: 1.7458 / Low: 1.6857). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0147 BGN (High: 1.6616 / Low: 1.6469).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0600
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0253 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 1.7146) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.6513), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0633 (+3.83%).

2021 Avg (November) 1.7146
2020 Avg (November) 1.6513

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6209 1.5864 1.6070
February 1.6329 1.6059 1.6168
March 1.6709 1.6185 1.6442
April 1.6642 1.6149 1.6359
May 1.6289 1.5964 1.6105
June 1.6505 1.5994 1.6252
July 1.6616 1.6469 1.6538
August 1.6753 1.6472 1.6620
September 1.6889 1.6456 1.6603
October 1.6965 1.6746 1.6865
November 1.7458 1.6857 1.7146
December 1.7397 1.7224 1.7309