YEARLY HIGH
5.9602 AOA
YEARLY LOW
3.7198 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8573 AOA

2023 KES to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KES to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 2, valuing the pair at 5.9602. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 11, dropping to 3.7198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2404 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0645 to the December average rate of 5.3803, the exchange rate registered a net change of 32.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.9602 was up 21.31% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.9134, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,801 AOA
2022 Average 19,548 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 18,599 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,202.23 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.0440
3.5716
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1121, compared to 5.6025 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4904 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1121
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6025

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.6456 AOA (High: 5.8975 / Low: 4.2519). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0334 AOA (High: 4.0813 / Low: 4.0479).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.6456
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0334

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1275 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 5.8380) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.6393), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1987 (+60.42%).

2023 Avg (July) 5.8380
2022 Avg (July) 3.6393

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0813 4.0479 4.0645
February 4.0493 3.9617 4.0194
March 3.9771 3.8302 3.9051
April 3.8302 3.7324 3.7776
May 4.2090 3.7198 3.8633
June 5.8975 4.2519 5.0425
July 5.9602 5.7913 5.8380
August 5.8032 5.6740 5.7452
September 5.6945 5.5879 5.6422
October 5.6334 5.4982 5.5464
November 5.5655 5.4069 5.4629
December 5.4581 5.2690 5.3803