YEARLY HIGH
1.6516 AOA
YEARLY LOW
1.3183 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6049 AOA

2016 KES to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 8, valuing the pair at 1.6516. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 1.3183.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3334 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4558 to the December average rate of 1.6219, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6516 was up 23.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3385, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,258 AOA
2015 Average 6,082 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 6,591 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,666.86 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6645
1.4369
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5787, compared to 1.6311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0525 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5787
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2045 AOA (High: 1.5228 / Low: 1.3183). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 AOA (High: 1.6370 / Low: 1.6341).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2045
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0068 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0068

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.6455) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1380), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5075 (+44.59%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.6455
2015 Avg (May) 1.1380

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5228 1.3183 1.4558
February 1.5638 1.5190 1.5432
March 1.5832 1.5622 1.5694
April 1.6404 1.5808 1.6187
May 1.6516 1.6399 1.6455
June 1.6437 1.6356 1.6392
July 1.6415 1.6300 1.6347
August 1.6349 1.6274 1.6330
September 1.6370 1.6341 1.6354
October 1.6405 1.6310 1.6343
November 1.6321 1.6253 1.6275
December 1.6279 1.6187 1.6219