YEARLY HIGH
0.9076 ARS
YEARLY LOW
0.7683 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8665 ARS

2021 KES to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 0.9076. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.7683.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1393 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7815 to the December average rate of 0.9014, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.9076 was up 17.74% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.7708, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,538 ARS
2020 Average 3,308 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 3,842 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 696.26 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.9134
0.7695
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8394, compared to 0.8936 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0542 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8394
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8936

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0278 ARS (High: 0.8677 / Low: 0.8398). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0041 ARS (High: 0.8978 / Low: 0.8937).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0278
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0041

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0005 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.9014) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.7473), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1541 (+20.61%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.9014
2020 Avg (December) 0.7473

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7926 0.7683 0.7815
February 0.8186 0.7955 0.8088
March 0.8405 0.8204 0.8299
April 0.8677 0.8398 0.8581
May 0.8811 0.8668 0.8751
June 0.8866 0.8785 0.8830
July 0.8916 0.8850 0.8894
August 0.8925 0.8864 0.8889
September 0.8936 0.8891 0.8916
October 0.8970 0.8920 0.8944
November 0.8978 0.8937 0.8957
December 0.9076 0.8960 0.9014