YEARLY HIGH
0.7960 KGS
YEARLY LOW
0.7467 KGS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7715 KGS

2021 KES to KGS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to KGS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 0.7960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.7467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0493 KGS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7605 to the December average rate of 0.7505, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.7960 was down 0.68% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.8014, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,980 KGS
2020 Average 3,614 KGS
Yearly Trough Low 3,734 KGS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 246.39 KGS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.7902
0.7468
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KGS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7763, compared to 0.7666 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7763
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7666

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0175 KGS (High: 0.7960 / Low: 0.7785). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 KGS (High: 0.7712 / Low: 0.7672).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0175
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0084 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.7866) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.7170), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0696 (+9.71%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.7866
2020 Avg (May) 0.7170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7646 0.7572 0.7605
February 0.7717 0.7622 0.7685
March 0.7749 0.7705 0.7727
April 0.7939 0.7786 0.7853
May 0.7960 0.7785 0.7866
June 0.7857 0.7815 0.7846
July 0.7865 0.7776 0.7831
August 0.7789 0.7708 0.7747
September 0.7712 0.7672 0.7695
October 0.7674 0.7621 0.7648
November 0.7620 0.7532 0.7571
December 0.7535 0.7467 0.7505