YEARLY HIGH
0.1544 LSL
YEARLY LOW
0.1133 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1306 LSL

2018 KES to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 0.1544. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 0.1133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0412 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1185 to the December average rate of 0.1396, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1544 was up 10.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 772 LSL
2017 Average 644 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 566 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 205.88 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1492
0.1138
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1214, compared to 0.1397 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0183 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1214
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1397

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0148 LSL (High: 0.1544 / Low: 0.1396). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 LSL (High: 0.1185 / Low: 0.1154).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0148
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0060 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0060

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.1462) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1275), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0187 (+14.68%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.1462
2017 Avg (September) 0.1275

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1209 0.1157 0.1185
February 0.1206 0.1133 0.1167
March 0.1185 0.1154 0.1172
April 0.1243 0.1170 0.1202
May 0.1269 0.1223 0.1246
June 0.1367 0.1246 0.1312
July 0.1370 0.1302 0.1332
August 0.1452 0.1313 0.1380
September 0.1544 0.1396 0.1462
October 0.1474 0.1400 0.1437
November 0.1420 0.1336 0.1377
December 0.1432 0.1332 0.1396