YEARLY HIGH
7.4094 MWK
YEARLY LOW
6.4397 MWK
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9976 MWK

2016 KES to MWK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to MWK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 7.4094. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 6.4397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9697 MWK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7374 to the December average rate of 7.0783, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.4094 was up 14.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.4816, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,047 MWK
2015 Average 25,312 MWK
Yearly Trough Low 32,198 MWK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,848.43 MWK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.3056
6.6753
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MWK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9177, compared to 7.0776 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1599 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9177
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0776

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.6822 MWK (High: 7.1219 / Low: 6.4397). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 MWK (High: 7.1186 / Low: 7.0862).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6822
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3554 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3554

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 7.2531) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.9141), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3390 (+47.60%).

2016 Avg (February) 7.2531
2015 Avg (February) 4.9141

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1219 6.4397 6.7374
February 7.4094 6.9907 7.2531
March 7.3252 6.6808 6.8977
April 6.8181 6.6616 6.7278
May 7.0312 6.7441 6.9096
June 7.0294 6.8930 6.9805
July 7.0818 6.9886 7.0451
August 7.1062 7.0292 7.0832
September 7.1186 7.0862 7.1012
October 7.1082 7.0331 7.0875
November 7.1032 7.0499 7.0705
December 7.1271 6.9899 7.0783