YEARLY HIGH
0.7753 MZN
YEARLY LOW
0.4375 MZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6168 MZN

2016 KES to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 0.7753. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.4375.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3378 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4525 to the December average rate of 0.7135, the exchange rate registered a net change of 57.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7753 was up 53.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,876 MZN
2015 Average 1,973 MZN
Yearly Trough Low 2,188 MZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,688.92 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7976
0.4212
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5128, compared to 0.7207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5128
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0499 MZN (High: 0.6262 / Low: 0.5764). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0178 MZN (High: 0.7753 / Low: 0.7575).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0499
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0178

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0351 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0351

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 0.7662) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4140), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3522 (+85.09%).

2016 Avg (October) 0.7662
2015 Avg (October) 0.4140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4643 0.4375 0.4525
February 0.4849 0.4383 0.4737
March 0.5063 0.4723 0.4938
April 0.5280 0.4975 0.5136
May 0.5688 0.5290 0.5444
June 0.6262 0.5764 0.5991
July 0.6757 0.6272 0.6469
August 0.7210 0.6777 0.6992
September 0.7653 0.7208 0.7496
October 0.7753 0.7575 0.7662
November 0.7607 0.7311 0.7486
December 0.7321 0.6964 0.7135