2012 KES to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1601 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.9298 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0402 RSD

2012 KES to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 1.1601. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.9298.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2303 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9449 to the December average rate of 1.0051, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.1601 was up 14.74% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.0110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,800 RSD

2011 Average 4,141 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 4,649 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,151.45 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.1497

0.9262

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0161, compared to 1.0644 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0483 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0161

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0644

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0850 RSD (High: 1.1000 / Low: 1.0151). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0213 RSD (High: 1.0247 / Low: 1.0034).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0850

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0640 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0640

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 1.1257) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.7934), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3323 (+41.88%).

2012 Avg (July) 1.1257

2011 Avg (July) 0.7934

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9610	0.9298	0.9449
February	0.9987	0.9542	0.9842
March	1.0348	0.9999	1.0112
April	1.0247	1.0034	1.0180
May	1.1000	1.0151	1.0511
June	1.1011	1.0743	1.0873
July	1.1601	1.0852	1.1257
August	1.1517	1.1136	1.1310
September	1.1167	1.0364	1.0670
October	1.0520	1.0021	1.0300
November	1.0389	1.0054	1.0275
December	1.0250	0.9913	1.0051