YEARLY HIGH
55.8550 SLL
YEARLY LOW
38.8516 SLL
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.4748 SLL

2016 KES to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 55.8550. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 16, dropping to 38.8516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.0033 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.5341 to the December average rate of 54.1295, the exchange rate registered a net change of 33.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 55.8550 was up 15.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 48.2207, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 279,275 SLL
2015 Average 212,025 SLL
Yearly Trough Low 194,258 SLL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 85,016.72 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

57.2757
37.5272
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.0301, compared to 54.9194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.8893 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.0301
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 54.9194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 12.7621 SLL (High: 51.6138 / Low: 38.8516). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3374 SLL (High: 39.3090 / Low: 38.9716).

June Spread (Volatile) ±12.7621
May Spread (Stable) ±0.3374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.8495 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8495

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 55.6300) against the same month in 2015 (average: 35.5378), the exchange rate shifted by +20.0921 (+56.54%).

2016 Avg (September) 55.6300
2015 Avg (September) 35.5378

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.2149 40.1178 40.5341
February 40.3503 39.8123 40.1749
March 40.2694 39.3737 39.8753
April 39.3507 38.9633 39.1771
May 39.3090 38.9716 39.1729
June 51.6138 38.8516 41.2463
July 54.7618 54.3356 54.4795
August 55.5147 54.1260 54.8167
September 55.8550 54.9361 55.6300
October 55.8086 55.1738 55.4819
November 55.3660 54.6888 54.9790
December 54.6849 53.6055 54.1295