YEARLY HIGH
1.0443 XPF
YEARLY LOW
0.9361 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9982 XPF

2018 KES to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 14, valuing the pair at 1.0443. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.9361.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1081 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9509 to the December average rate of 1.0264, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0443 was down 6.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,221 XPF
2017 Average 5,125 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 4,681 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 540.62 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0352
0.9432
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9736, compared to 1.0228 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0492 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9736
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0228

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0327 XPF (High: 1.0443 / Low: 1.0116). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0131 XPF (High: 0.9619 / Low: 0.9488).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0327
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0115 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 1.0271) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9752), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0519 (+5.32%).

2018 Avg (August) 1.0271
2017 Avg (August) 0.9752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9694 0.9382 0.9509
February 0.9673 0.9361 0.9531
March 0.9619 0.9488 0.9564
April 0.9848 0.9549 0.9663
May 1.0204 0.9889 1.0030
June 1.0208 0.9993 1.0116
July 1.0200 1.0062 1.0138
August 1.0443 1.0116 1.0271
September 1.0251 1.0049 1.0157
October 1.0361 1.0200 1.0276
November 1.0376 1.0132 1.0262
December 1.0323 1.0191 1.0264