YEARLY HIGH
1.0851 BTN
YEARLY LOW
0.9129 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9990 BTN

2018 KGS to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KGS to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 1.0851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 0.9129.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1723 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9216 to the December average rate of 1.0282, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0851 was up 3.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0469, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KGS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,426 BTN
2017 Average 4,732 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 4,564 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 861.32 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0893
0.9063
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KGS to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9591, compared to 1.0388 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0797 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9591
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0388

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0556 BTN (High: 1.0692 / Low: 1.0136). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 BTN (High: 0.9583 / Low: 0.9508).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0556
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0284 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0284

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 1.0741) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9502), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1239 (+13.04%).

2018 Avg (October) 1.0741
2017 Avg (October) 0.9502

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9311 0.9129 0.9216
February 0.9576 0.9304 0.9421
March 0.9583 0.9508 0.9540
April 0.9780 0.9481 0.9602
May 0.9994 0.9673 0.9846
June 1.0094 0.9788 0.9922
July 1.0114 1.0018 1.0065
August 1.0413 1.0048 1.0207
September 1.0667 1.0413 1.0575
October 1.0851 1.0647 1.0741
November 1.0692 1.0136 1.0457
December 1.0479 1.0148 1.0282