2012 KGS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8922 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.7618 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8095 KES

2012 KGS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KGS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 4, valuing the pair at 1.8922. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 1.7618.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1305 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8447 to the December average rate of 1.8138, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8922 was down 19.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.3491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KGS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,461 KES

2011 Average 9,639 KES

Yearly Trough Low 8,809 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 652.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.8774

1.7663

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KGS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7934, compared to 1.8256 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0322 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7934

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8256

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0939 KES (High: 1.8922 / Low: 1.7983). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0086 KES (High: 1.8179 / Low: 1.8093).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0939

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0086

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0691 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0691

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 1.8473) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.1359), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2886 (-13.51%).

2012 Avg (September) 1.8473

2011 Avg (September) 2.1359

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8726	1.7916	1.8447
February	1.7889	1.7620	1.7756
March	1.7878	1.7618	1.7761
April	1.7853	1.7710	1.7766
May	1.8489	1.7687	1.7905
June	1.8347	1.7683	1.7971
July	1.8698	1.7768	1.8051
August	1.8904	1.8588	1.8682
September	1.8922	1.7983	1.8473
October	1.8148	1.8019	1.8082
November	1.8190	1.8063	1.8112
December	1.8179	1.8093	1.8138