YEARLY HIGH
0.4524 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0082 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4256 DJF

2018 KMF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KMF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 0.4524. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 0.0082.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4443 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4430 to the December average rate of 0.4114, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4524 was down 1.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4599, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,262 DJF
2017 Average 2,053 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 41 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,221.29 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4501
0.3934
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4370, compared to 0.4142 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4370
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4142

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.4060 DJF (High: 0.4142 / Low: 0.0082). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0045 DJF (High: 0.4135 / Low: 0.4090).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4060
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0173 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.4454) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3869), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0586 (+15.14%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.4454
2017 Avg (February) 0.3869

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4524 0.4332 0.4430
February 0.4524 0.4389 0.4454
March 0.4472 0.4387 0.4435
April 0.4450 0.4344 0.4407
May 0.4359 0.4194 0.4274
June 0.4268 0.4177 0.4218
July 0.4247 0.4185 0.4225
August 0.4218 0.4105 0.4168
September 0.4260 0.4178 0.4213
October 0.4190 0.4087 0.4154
November 0.4142 0.0082 0.3981
December 0.4135 0.4090 0.4114