YEARLY HIGH
0.6619 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.6177 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6344 HUF

2016 KMF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KMF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 19, valuing the pair at 0.6619. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 0.6177.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0441 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6406 to the December average rate of 0.6341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6619 was up 1.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,309 HUF
2015 Average 3,149 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 3,089 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 220.75 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6517
0.6212
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6369, compared to 0.6320 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0049 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6369
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6320

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0327 HUF (High: 0.6619 / Low: 0.6291). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0080 HUF (High: 0.6377 / Low: 0.6297).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0327
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0080

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0254 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0254

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 0.6492) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6334), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0158 (+2.50%).

2016 Avg (July) 0.6492
2015 Avg (July) 0.6334

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6534 0.6337 0.6406
February 0.6344 0.6253 0.6300
March 0.6381 0.6248 0.6315
April 0.6377 0.6297 0.6332
May 0.6496 0.6284 0.6422
June 0.6593 0.6348 0.6438
July 0.6619 0.6291 0.6492
August 0.6320 0.6177 0.6238
September 0.6325 0.6205 0.6265
October 0.6399 0.6183 0.6279
November 0.6444 0.6214 0.6303
December 0.6419 0.6259 0.6341