YEARLY HIGH
0.4479 BTN
YEARLY LOW
0.3814 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4210 BTN

2018 LKR to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 11, valuing the pair at 0.4479. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.3814.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0666 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4138 to the December average rate of 0.3917, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4479 was down 2.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4596, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,240 BTN
2017 Average 2,134 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 1,907 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 332.88 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4410
0.3873
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4202, compared to 0.4218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4202
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0369 BTN (High: 0.4263 / Low: 0.3894). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 BTN (High: 0.4203 / Low: 0.4155).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0369
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0219 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0219

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.4365) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4206), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0159 (+3.78%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.4365
2017 Avg (September) 0.4206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4165 0.4114 0.4138
February 0.4203 0.4124 0.4157
March 0.4203 0.4155 0.4177
April 0.4250 0.4170 0.4203
May 0.4318 0.4210 0.4274
June 0.4343 0.4218 0.4263
July 0.4345 0.4279 0.4312
August 0.4394 0.4290 0.4339
September 0.4479 0.4268 0.4365
October 0.4359 0.4227 0.4297
November 0.4263 0.3894 0.4079
December 0.4012 0.3814 0.3917