2016 LKR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2399 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.1880 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2159 DJF

2016 LKR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LKR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 1.2399. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.1880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0519 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2335 to the December average rate of 1.1965, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2399 was down 8.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3617, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,200 DJF

2015 Average 6,537 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 5,940 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 259.69 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2372

1.1928

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2225, compared to 1.2094 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2225

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2094

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0378 DJF (High: 1.2318 / Low: 1.1940). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0113 DJF (High: 1.2057 / Low: 1.1944).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0378

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0114 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0114

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.2326) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.3404), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1078 (-8.04%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.2326

2015 Avg (February) 1.3404

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2393	1.2265	1.2335
February	1.2399	1.2213	1.2326
March	1.2318	1.1940	1.2212
April	1.2297	1.2095	1.2198
May	1.2203	1.2020	1.2124
June	1.2297	1.1984	1.2153
July	1.2214	1.2072	1.2157
August	1.2233	1.2113	1.2184
September	1.2224	1.2106	1.2172
October	1.2164	1.1971	1.2081
November	1.2057	1.1944	1.2006
December	1.2042	1.1880	1.1965