YEARLY HIGH
9.6415 MMK
YEARLY LOW
8.4350 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8693 MMK

2018 LKR to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 9.6415. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 8.4350.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2065 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7483 to the December average rate of 8.6857, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.6415 was up 5.53% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.1366, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,208 MMK
2017 Average 44,643 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 42,175 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,032.67 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

9.5956
8.4351
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6108, compared to 9.1278 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5170 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6108
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1278

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.4713 MMK (High: 9.3104 / Low: 8.8391). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0796 MMK (High: 8.6360 / Low: 8.5564).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4713
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0796

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3850 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3850

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 9.4989) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.8910), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6079 (+6.84%).

2018 Avg (September) 9.4989
2017 Avg (September) 8.8910

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.8259 8.6506 8.7483
February 8.6416 8.5079 8.6083
March 8.6360 8.5564 8.5896
April 8.6089 8.4350 8.5318
May 8.5931 8.4815 8.5528
June 8.9645 8.5037 8.6342
July 9.1346 8.8671 8.9749
August 9.5985 9.1417 9.3515
September 9.6415 9.2095 9.4989
October 9.4133 8.9537 9.1852
November 9.3104 8.8391 9.0707
December 8.8611 8.4424 8.6857