YEARLY HIGH
0.6493 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.5637 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6174 RSD

2018 LKR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 0.6493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.5637.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0856 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6323 to the December average rate of 0.5764, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6493 was down 17.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,247 RSD
2017 Average 3,532 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 2,818 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 428.22 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6446
0.5702
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6254, compared to 0.6094 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0160 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6254
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6094

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0375 RSD (High: 0.6321 / Low: 0.5945). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 RSD (High: 0.6194 / Low: 0.6107).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0375
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0232 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0232

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.6384) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6614), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0230 (-3.47%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.6384
2017 Avg (August) 0.6614

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6472 0.6213 0.6323
February 0.6277 0.6109 0.6189
March 0.6194 0.6107 0.6157
April 0.6208 0.6099 0.6164
May 0.6478 0.6192 0.6331
June 0.6446 0.6265 0.6362
July 0.6406 0.6291 0.6339
August 0.6493 0.6259 0.6384
September 0.6321 0.5945 0.6152
October 0.6083 0.5965 0.6020
November 0.6061 0.5774 0.5907
December 0.5830 0.5637 0.5764