YEARLY HIGH
3.8241 SOS
YEARLY LOW
3.1646 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5718 SOS

2018 LKR to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 3.8241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.1646.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6595 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7707 to the December average rate of 3.2157, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.8241 was down 1.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,121 SOS
2017 Average 18,990 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 15,823 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,297.72 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8262
3.1602
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7054, compared to 3.4382 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2672 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7054
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4382

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1716 SOS (High: 3.5820 / Low: 3.4104). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0396 SOS (High: 3.6565 / Low: 3.6169).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1716
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0396

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1208 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1208

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.7707) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8533), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0826 (-2.14%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.7707
2017 Avg (January) 3.8533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8241 3.7261 3.7707
February 3.7765 3.7136 3.7511
March 3.7621 3.7021 3.7320
April 3.7493 3.6281 3.6976
May 3.6822 3.6224 3.6517
June 3.6594 3.5766 3.6291
July 3.6565 3.6169 3.6310
August 3.6293 3.5820 3.6073
September 3.5820 3.4104 3.5039
October 3.4220 3.3126 3.3830
November 3.3738 3.2127 3.2882
December 3.2488 3.1646 3.2157