2016 LRD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9711 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.6496 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7527 RUB

2016 LRD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LRD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.9711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.6496.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3214 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8951 to the December average rate of 0.6749, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9711 was up 13.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8567, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,855 RUB

2015 Average 3,562 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 3,248 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,607.21 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9373

0.6510

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8066, compared to 0.6989 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8066

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6989

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1306 RUB (High: 0.9711 / Low: 0.8405). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0236 RUB (High: 0.7405 / Low: 0.7169).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1306

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0236

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0881 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0881

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.8951) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7004), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1947 (+27.79%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.8951

2015 Avg (January) 0.7004

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9711	0.8405	0.8951
February	0.9504	0.8899	0.9135
March	0.8713	0.7933	0.8254
April	0.8093	0.7164	0.7580
May	0.7405	0.7169	0.7284
June	0.7393	0.7038	0.7190
July	0.7375	0.6969	0.7126
August	0.7404	0.6727	0.7071
September	0.7210	0.6876	0.7050
October	0.7002	0.6742	0.6847
November	0.7249	0.6966	0.7092
December	0.7063	0.6496	0.6749