YEARLY HIGH
1.4433 MDL
YEARLY LOW
1.0770 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2781 MDL

2018 LSL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LSL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 1.4433. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 1.0770.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3663 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3908 to the December average rate of 1.2044, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.4433 was down 7.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,217 MDL
2017 Average 6,938 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 5,385 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,831.55 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.4361
1.1138
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3603, compared to 1.1959 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1644 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3603
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1959

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.1227 MDL (High: 1.3469 / Low: 1.2242). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0421 MDL (High: 1.4195 / Low: 1.3774).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1227
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0580 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0580

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.4093) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5094), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1002 (-6.64%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.4093
2017 Avg (February) 1.5094

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4190 1.3701 1.3908
February 1.4433 1.3688 1.4093
March 1.4195 1.3774 1.3975
April 1.3937 1.3264 1.3602
May 1.3574 1.3088 1.3301
June 1.3469 1.2242 1.2742
July 1.2694 1.2205 1.2463
August 1.2573 1.1465 1.1986
September 1.1981 1.0770 1.1407
October 1.1978 1.1373 1.1708
November 1.2525 1.1798 1.2146
December 1.2516 1.1658 1.2044