YEARLY HIGH
179.5386 RSD
YEARLY LOW
173.3934 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
175.9402 RSD

2016 LVL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LVL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 179.5386. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 29, dropping to 173.3934.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1452 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 176.9837 to the December average rate of 175.4654, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 179.5386 was up 1.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 176.8282, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LVL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 897,693 RSD
2015 Average 861,357 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 866,967 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,726.21 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

177.2172
174.4156
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LVL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 175.7702, compared to 176.1102 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3399 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 175.7702
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 176.1102

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 4.1693 RSD (High: 179.5386 / Low: 175.3693). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6930 RSD (High: 176.1964 / Low: 175.5033).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.1693
September Spread (Stable) ±0.6930

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.4667 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4667

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 176.9837) against the same month in 2015 (average: 174.3167), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6670 (+1.53%).

2016 Avg (January) 176.9837
2015 Avg (January) 174.3167

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 179.5386 175.3693 176.9837
February 177.6326 174.0314 175.8649
March 178.1537 174.3315 176.1157
April 175.5367 173.3934 174.6490
May 176.7518 173.5173 175.0143
June 178.0234 174.6696 175.9937
July 177.2639 175.3378 176.6129
August 176.5427 174.7025 175.8423
September 176.1964 175.5033 175.8324
October 177.5385 175.5511 176.6396
November 178.8390 175.0220 176.2685
December 176.4151 173.9183 175.4654