YEARLY HIGH
75.6944 RSD
YEARLY LOW
71.1701 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
73.4462 RSD

2018 LYD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LYD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 24, valuing the pair at 75.6944. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 71.1701.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5243 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.2759 to the December average rate of 74.4151, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 75.6944 was down 8.33% compared to the 2017 peak of 82.5753, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LYD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 378,472 RSD
2017 Average 386,147 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 355,851 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,621.26 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

74.8278
71.8188
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LYD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 72.8332, compared to 74.0591 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 72.8332
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 74.0591

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 2.1497 RSD (High: 75.6944 / Low: 73.5447). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0938 RSD (High: 74.0112 / Low: 72.9174).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.1497
July Spread (Stable) ±1.0938

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7349 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7349

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 74.5235) against the same month in 2017 (average: 74.1077), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4158 (+0.56%).

2018 Avg (October) 74.5235
2017 Avg (October) 74.1077

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 73.4720 71.6721 72.2759
February 73.0340 71.1701 72.0695
March 72.7366 71.4465 72.1319
April 73.2669 71.7701 72.4503
May 75.0801 73.0575 73.8006
June 75.1097 73.4138 74.2710
July 74.0112 72.9174 73.5361
August 74.9366 73.0397 73.8257
September 74.0782 72.7613 73.4773
October 75.6944 73.5447 74.5235
November 75.0921 73.9764 74.5771
December 75.1315 73.7786 74.4151