YEARLY HIGH
7.8606 BTN
YEARLY LOW
6.7791 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2806 BTN

2018 MAD to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 7.8606. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 6.7791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0815 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8771 to the December average rate of 7.4064, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.8606 was up 12.89% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,303 BTN
2017 Average 33,542 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 33,895 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,407.56 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.8487
6.7887
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0651, compared to 7.4960 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0651
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4960

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.3992 BTN (High: 7.7119 / Low: 7.3126). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0478 BTN (High: 7.1105 / Low: 7.0628).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3992
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0478

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2070 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2070

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 7.7604) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.8898), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8706 (+12.64%).

2018 Avg (October) 7.7604
2017 Avg (October) 6.8898

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9567 6.7791 6.8771
February 7.0697 6.9539 7.0043
March 7.1105 7.0628 7.0804
April 7.2232 7.0408 7.1279
May 7.2218 7.0790 7.1642
June 7.2219 7.0640 7.1366
July 7.3024 7.2179 7.2609
August 7.5286 7.2151 7.3347
September 7.7691 7.5194 7.6606
October 7.8606 7.6741 7.7604
November 7.7119 7.3126 7.5533
December 7.5806 7.3055 7.4064