YEARLY HIGH
3.3418 ETB
YEARLY LOW
2.9285 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0375 ETB

2019 MAD to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MAD to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 3.3418. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2.9285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4133 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9751 to the December average rate of 3.2723, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.3418 was up 10.54% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.0233, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,709 ETB
2018 Average 14,739 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 14,642 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,066.64 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.3026
2.9390
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9862, compared to 3.0887 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9862
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0887

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.1893 ETB (High: 3.3418 / Low: 3.1525). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0389 ETB (High: 3.0502 / Low: 3.0113).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1893
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0389

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0154 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 3.2723) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.9561), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3162 (+10.70%).

2019 Avg (December) 3.2723
2018 Avg (December) 2.9561

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0103 2.9285 2.9751
February 3.0037 2.9608 2.9847
March 2.9893 2.9441 2.9693
April 3.0096 2.9578 2.9879
May 3.0105 2.9563 2.9862
June 3.0375 2.9634 3.0141
July 3.0453 2.9803 3.0206
August 3.0857 3.0075 3.0424
September 3.0502 3.0113 3.0361
October 3.0947 3.0042 3.0610
November 3.1706 3.0473 3.1000
December 3.3418 3.1525 3.2723