2016 MAD to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8369 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.7826 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8158 MOP

2016 MAD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 0.8369. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.7826.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0544 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8092 to the December average rate of 0.7904, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8369 was down 5.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8826, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,185 MOP

2015 Average 4,096 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 3,913 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 271.76 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8310

0.7868

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8209, compared to 0.8107 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0102 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8209

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8107

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0236 MOP (High: 0.8159 / Low: 0.7922). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0067 MOP (High: 0.8258 / Low: 0.8191).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0236

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0067

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0117 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0117

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.8268) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8216), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0052 (+0.63%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.8268

2015 Avg (May) 0.8216

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8137	0.8022	0.8092
February	0.8326	0.8091	0.8199
March	0.8301	0.8081	0.8188
April	0.8321	0.8232	0.8273
May	0.8369	0.8188	0.8268
June	0.8300	0.8135	0.8234
July	0.8207	0.8113	0.8150
August	0.8300	0.8151	0.8214
September	0.8258	0.8191	0.8220
October	0.8221	0.8057	0.8134
November	0.8159	0.7922	0.8021
December	0.7992	0.7826	0.7904