YEARLY HIGH
5.8035 PHP
YEARLY LOW
5.3228 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6108 PHP

2018 MAD to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 5.8035. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 5.3228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4807 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4607 to the December average rate of 5.5347, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8035 was up 5.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4919, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,018 PHP
2017 Average 25,987 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 26,614 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,403.53 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.7641
5.4331
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5942, compared to 5.6273 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0332 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5942
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6273

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2879 PHP (High: 5.6107 / Low: 5.3228). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0621 PHP (High: 5.6737 / Low: 5.6116).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2879
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0621

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1385 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 5.7366) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.4423), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2942 (+5.41%).

2018 Avg (September) 5.7366
2017 Avg (September) 5.4423

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6107 5.3228 5.4607
February 5.7322 5.5537 5.6446
March 5.7283 5.6284 5.6740
April 5.6890 5.5574 5.6477
May 5.6076 5.5119 5.5472
June 5.6401 5.5227 5.5906
July 5.6737 5.6116 5.6424
August 5.6905 5.5704 5.6168
September 5.8035 5.6666 5.7366
October 5.7425 5.5825 5.6861
November 5.6069 5.4986 5.5476
December 5.5949 5.4865 5.5347