2014 MDL to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1843 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.1567 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1680 BRL

2014 MDL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.1843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.1567.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0277 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1805 to the December average rate of 0.1715, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1843 was down 3.94% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1919, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 922 BRL

2013 Average 861 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 783 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 138.26 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1826

0.1571

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1701, compared to 0.1659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1701

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0126 BRL (High: 0.1702 / Low: 0.1577). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0056 BRL (High: 0.1666 / Low: 0.1610).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0126

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0056

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0064 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0064

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.1805) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1676), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0129 (+7.67%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.1805

2013 Avg (January) 0.1676

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1843	0.1769	0.1805
February	0.1807	0.1703	0.1765
March	0.1777	0.1688	0.1731
April	0.1698	0.1639	0.1667
May	0.1666	0.1610	0.1636
June	0.1643	0.1567	0.1604
July	0.1629	0.1572	0.1593
August	0.1666	0.1595	0.1639
September	0.1702	0.1577	0.1632
October	0.1712	0.1626	0.1671
November	0.1739	0.1666	0.1704
December	0.1760	0.1699	0.1715