YEARLY HIGH
4.7954 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.0333 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3637 BTN

2014 MDL to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 4.7954. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 4.0333.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7620 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7103 to the December average rate of 4.0688, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.7954 was down 10.17% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.3383, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,977 BTN
2013 Average 23,333 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 20,167 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,810.17 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.7745
4.0046
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5043, compared to 4.2230 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2813 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5043
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2230

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.2329 BTN (High: 4.4985 / Low: 4.2656). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0623 BTN (High: 4.3256 / Low: 4.2633).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2329
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0623

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1488 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1488

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 4.7103) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.4786), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2317 (+5.17%).

2014 Avg (January) 4.7103
2013 Avg (January) 4.4786

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7954 4.6373 4.7103
February 4.6515 4.5410 4.6099
March 4.6019 4.4645 4.5383
April 4.5689 4.4694 4.5043
May 4.4985 4.2656 4.3721
June 4.3256 4.2633 4.2911
July 4.3611 4.2671 4.3006
August 4.4764 4.3198 4.4012
September 4.3188 4.2144 4.2525
October 4.2353 4.1488 4.1881
November 4.1818 4.0889 4.1270
December 4.1393 4.0333 4.0688