YEARLY HIGH
98.3436 CDF
YEARLY LOW
90.3606 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
94.3556 CDF

2019 MDL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 98.3436. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 2, dropping to 90.3606.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.9830 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 95.4822 to the December average rate of 97.2270, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 98.3436 was down 1.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 100.0433, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 491,718 CDF
2018 Average 481,946 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 451,803 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,914.96 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

97.8236
90.6648
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 93.7377, compared to 94.9736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2359 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 93.7377
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 94.9736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 3.8730 CDF (High: 95.4139 / Low: 91.5409). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0881 CDF (High: 96.3686 / Low: 95.2804).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.8730
February Spread (Stable) ±1.0881

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.4465 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 97.2270) against the same month in 2018 (average: 94.6609), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5661 (+2.71%).

2019 Avg (December) 97.2270
2018 Avg (December) 94.6609

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 96.2760 94.1439 95.4822
February 96.3686 95.2804 95.8535
March 96.1408 94.2654 95.3030
April 94.7672 91.4277 92.8565
May 92.3533 90.6412 91.6696
June 91.9386 90.3606 91.2614
July 95.4139 91.5409 93.7773
August 95.4123 91.9168 94.0249
September 94.8038 93.1977 94.0261
October 96.3429 93.8025 95.2356
November 96.1699 94.7599 95.5504
December 98.3436 95.2692 97.2270