2016 MDL to KZT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.7317 KZT

YEARLY LOW

16.4240 KZT

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.1958 KZT

2016 MDL to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 18.7317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 16.4240.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3077 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.8233 to the December average rate of 16.6168, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 18.7317 was up 6.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 17.5182, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 93,658 KZT

2015 Average 58,851 KZT

Yearly Trough Low 82,120 KZT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,538.56 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

17.9779

16.4930

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.3553, compared to 17.0364 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.3553

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.0364

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.6462 KZT (High: 18.7317 / Low: 17.0855). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3747 KZT (High: 16.7987 / Low: 16.4240).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.6462

December Spread (Stable) ±0.3747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4384 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4384

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 17.8233) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.0644), the exchange rate shifted by +6.7589 (+61.09%).

2016 Avg (January) 17.8233

2015 Avg (January) 11.0644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.7317	17.0855	17.8233
February	18.3730	17.4333	17.8542
March	17.7149	17.2465	17.4724
April	17.6243	16.5980	17.1622
May	16.9264	16.5419	16.7843
June	17.2546	16.8041	17.0351
July	17.9287	17.0270	17.2882
August	17.9543	17.1854	17.4499
September	17.4268	17.0120	17.1740
October	17.0293	16.5129	16.7356
November	17.2270	16.6112	16.9540
December	16.7987	16.4240	16.6168