YEARLY HIGH
0.4819 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.4557 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4676 MOP

2026 MDL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MDL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 0.4819. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.4557.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0263 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4758 to the December average rate of 0.4598, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.4819 was down 1.49% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.4893, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,410 MOP
2025 Average 2,323 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,278 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 131.36 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.4774
0.4582
JanuMarcMayJuly

MDL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4689, compared to 0.4598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4689
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 0.0165 MOP (High: 0.4750 / Low: 0.4585). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0046 MOP (High: 0.4706 / Low: 0.4660).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0165
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0101 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0101

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.4758) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.4322), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0436 (+10.09%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.4758
2025 Avg (January) 0.4322

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4819 0.4686 0.4758
February 0.4807 0.4687 0.4747
March 0.4714 0.4586 0.4646
April 0.4750 0.4585 0.4674
May 0.4706 0.4660 0.4679
June 0.4684 0.4557 0.4632
July 0.4629 0.4571 0.4598