2016 MDL to PGK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1617 PGK

YEARLY LOW

0.1456 PGK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1575 PGK

2016 MDL to PGK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to PGK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 0.1617. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.1456.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0162 PGK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1484 to the December average rate of 0.1577, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1617 was down 2.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1661, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 809 PGK

2015 Average 738 PGK

Yearly Trough Low 728 PGK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 80.85 PGK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1619

0.1471

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PGK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1555, compared to 0.1595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1555

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0072 PGK (High: 0.1528 / Low: 0.1456). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 PGK (High: 0.1610 / Low: 0.1602).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0072

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0014 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0014

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 0.1606) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1439), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0167 (+11.62%).

2016 Avg (September) 0.1606

2015 Avg (September) 0.1439

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1528	0.1456	0.1484
February	0.1535	0.1490	0.1515
March	0.1581	0.1516	0.1550
April	0.1598	0.1575	0.1589
May	0.1608	0.1563	0.1595
June	0.1612	0.1585	0.1597
July	0.1617	0.1591	0.1600
August	0.1610	0.1602	0.1606
September	0.1617	0.1599	0.1606
October	0.1615	0.1579	0.1596
November	0.1607	0.1565	0.1582
December	0.1599	0.1561	0.1577