2016 MDL to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.5460 SOS

YEARLY LOW

27.5017 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.8516 SOS

2016 MDL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 31.5460. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 27.5017.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0444 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.4559 to the December average rate of 28.4756, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 31.5460 was down 31.95% compared to the 2015 peak of 46.3586, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,730 SOS

2015 Average 180,628 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 137,508 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,221.91 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

31.3147

28.2176

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.5451, compared to 29.1580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3871 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.5451

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.1580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.7490 SOS (High: 31.5460 / Low: 29.7970). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2518 SOS (High: 29.7300 / Low: 29.4782).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7490

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7721 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7721

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 30.4559) against the same month in 2015 (average: 43.0879), the exchange rate shifted by -12.6320 (-29.32%).

2016 Avg (January) 30.4559

2015 Avg (January) 43.0879

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	31.5460	29.7970	30.4559
February	30.7646	30.1064	30.5301
March	31.4295	30.4171	30.9787
April	31.5100	30.5952	31.0566
May	30.9928	29.5966	30.5108
June	30.2719	29.2795	29.7387
July	29.7816	28.9774	29.4550
August	29.7886	29.3050	29.5376
September	29.7300	29.4782	29.5617
October	29.8156	28.6587	29.2792
November	29.2429	27.5017	28.6389
December	29.1139	27.7273	28.4756