YEARLY HIGH
5.6862 VUV
YEARLY LOW
5.2392 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4737 VUV

2016 MDL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 5.6862. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 5.2392.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4470 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5572 to the December average rate of 5.3768, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.6862 was down 14.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.6206, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,431 VUV
2015 Average 28,863 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 26,196 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,235.06 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.6554
5.3152
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5629, compared to 5.3845 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1784 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5629
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3845

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.2247 VUV (High: 5.6575 / Low: 5.4328). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0864 VUV (High: 5.4356 / Low: 5.3492).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2247
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1424 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1424

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 5.6271) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.7070), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0799 (-1.40%).

2016 Avg (February) 5.6271
2015 Avg (February) 5.7070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6617 5.4572 5.5572
February 5.6862 5.5635 5.6271
March 5.6538 5.4717 5.5713
April 5.5690 5.4232 5.4962
May 5.6575 5.4328 5.5457
June 5.6748 5.4583 5.5803
July 5.4951 5.3719 5.4378
August 5.5143 5.3467 5.3966
September 5.4356 5.3492 5.3833
October 5.4348 5.3025 5.3689
November 5.3917 5.2392 5.3436
December 5.5296 5.3164 5.3768