YEARLY HIGH
74.2396 UGX
YEARLY LOW
67.7441 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
71.4830 UGX

2018 MKD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MKD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 74.2396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 67.7441.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.4955 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.1117 to the December average rate of 68.6467, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 74.2396 was up 4.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 70.9184, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 371,198 UGX
2017 Average 331,774 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 338,721 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,477.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

74.1724
68.1444
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MKD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 72.7465, compared to 70.2196 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.5269 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 72.7465
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 70.2196

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.8633 UGX (High: 73.9055 / Low: 70.0422). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3484 UGX (High: 74.2396 / Low: 72.8912).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.8633
April Spread (Stable) ±1.3484

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.1130 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1130

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 73.6701) against the same month in 2017 (average: 63.1452), the exchange rate shifted by +10.5249 (+16.67%).

2018 Avg (April) 73.6701
2017 Avg (April) 63.1452

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 73.3166 70.6671 72.1117
February 73.8488 72.1688 72.9604
March 74.1328 72.6114 73.2166
April 74.2396 72.8912 73.6701
May 72.9862 70.6162 71.5571
June 73.8851 71.4514 72.9631
July 73.9055 70.0422 71.2976
August 71.6889 68.7285 69.8861
September 73.1454 70.9099 71.9387
October 71.9099 69.1717 70.4969
November 69.9831 68.2691 69.0516
December 69.1870 67.7441 68.6467