2011 MMK to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.3301 KES

YEARLY LOW

12.3888 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.6741 KES

2011 MMK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MMK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 16.3301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 12.3888.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.9413 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4370 to the December average rate of 13.3457, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 16.3301 was up 29.34% compared to the 2010 peak of 12.6259, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,651 KES

2010 Average 60,844 KES

Yearly Trough Low 61,944 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,706.63 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

15.9387

12.1187

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.9251, compared to 14.4232 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4981 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.9251

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.4232

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.4613 KES (High: 15.1627 / Low: 13.7014). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0945 KES (High: 12.4833 / Low: 12.3888).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.4613

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0945

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2042 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 15.6204) against the same month in 2010 (average: 12.3905), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2299 (+26.07%).

2011 Avg (October) 15.6204

2010 Avg (October) 12.3905

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.4833	12.3888	12.4370
February	12.6542	12.4335	12.5216
March	13.2114	12.7094	12.9483
April	12.9386	12.7917	12.8757
May	13.3348	12.7914	13.1024
June	14.0564	13.1925	13.6655
July	14.1869	13.6078	13.8546
August	14.8119	14.0024	14.3662
September	15.8317	14.4011	14.9362
October	16.3301	15.2371	15.6204
November	15.1627	13.7014	14.4162
December	13.9870	12.8422	13.3457