YEARLY HIGH
0.0756 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0617 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0697 RSD

2018 MMK to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MMK to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 0.0756. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 23, dropping to 0.0617.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0139 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0723 to the December average rate of 0.0664, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0756 was down 13.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0875, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 378 RSD
2017 Average 395 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 309 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69.31 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0749
0.0638
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0726, compared to 0.0668 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0726
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0668

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0054 RSD (High: 0.0671 / Low: 0.0617). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 RSD (High: 0.0723 / Low: 0.0712).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0054
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0035 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.0740) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0816), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0075 (-9.25%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.0740
2017 Avg (May) 0.0816

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0738 0.0713 0.0723
February 0.0728 0.0710 0.0719
March 0.0723 0.0712 0.0717
April 0.0731 0.0717 0.0722
May 0.0756 0.0725 0.0740
June 0.0747 0.0716 0.0737
July 0.0720 0.0692 0.0706
August 0.0704 0.0652 0.0683
September 0.0671 0.0617 0.0648
October 0.0676 0.0638 0.0656
November 0.0661 0.0645 0.0651
December 0.0674 0.0655 0.0664