YEARLY HIGH
0.0822 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0708 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0732 DJF

2018 MNT to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MNT to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 12, valuing the pair at 0.0822. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.0708.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0115 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0738 to the December average rate of 0.0722, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0822 was up 7.86% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0763, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 411 DJF
2017 Average 367 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 354 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 57.38 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0747
0.0711
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MNT to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0740, compared to 0.0723 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0740
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0723

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0094 DJF (High: 0.0822 / Low: 0.0728). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 DJF (High: 0.0730 / Low: 0.0729).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0094
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.0744) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0756), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0012 (-1.52%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.0744
2017 Avg (June) 0.0756

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0740 0.0736 0.0738
February 0.0744 0.0736 0.0740
March 0.0741 0.0739 0.0740
April 0.0742 0.0739 0.0740
May 0.0743 0.0738 0.0740
June 0.0822 0.0728 0.0744
July 0.0730 0.0728 0.0729
August 0.0730 0.0729 0.0729
September 0.0731 0.0729 0.0729
October 0.0729 0.0714 0.0716
November 0.0717 0.0710 0.0714
December 0.0726 0.0708 0.0722